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All users of this information must acknowledge the purpose, limitations, and lack of warranty for this analysis and the related data, and accept the requirement to disclose these terms to any person to whom they provide this information:
1. Purpose. Our purpose is to provide information useful to others who may face a decision regarding their activities in the coming months. The purpose is not to diagnose or treat any disease; provide health advice; provide legal advice; or even to make unconditional forecasts of the number of cases or patients.
2. Known Limitations and Errors in Data. This analysis relies upon data that have known errors, omissions, and limitations. These include:
• The diagnosis and classification of those afflicted with Covid-19 has been inconsistent across jurisdictions, and across time.
• Daily case counts are subject to reporting and compilation errors.
• The proper location for a case is often unclear, particularly with travelers and people who live near borders.
• In some situations, governments have retroactively re-classified cases.
• In some areas of the world, governments have censored, suppressed, or otherwise failed to report accurately the relevant data.
• Given the volume of data and the frequency with which it is revised, some inadvertent errors are certain to arise.
• The underlying data, and therefore the estimated parameters and the estimated and projected paths, will change over time.
3. Known Limitations of Epidemiological Models. Every model is an approximation of reality. Like every other model, the one used here will never completely represent the underlying behavior, and will often distort some portion of it.
4. No Warranty on Information. There is NO WARRANTY provided for any of this information, including no warranty of merchantability or fitness.
5. Requirement to Disclose these Terms. If you provide this information to any other person, you must disclose to them these terms and provide a copy of this statement.
If you do not acknowledge and accept these terms, then you should not read, share, or rely upon this information.
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